Company default prediction – DLMM internal rating model in R

Table of Contents

Most firms are sitting on data that could predict which clients are at risk or which investments are underperforming. Machine learning is the type of artificial intelligence that enables computers to learn from this existing knowledge and data.

In this demonstration case we use statistical modelling and machine learning to assess company default risk, and provide a reliable early warning signal to credit or investment teams.

Open code in R language on Github

Our open code on GitHub offers a step by step implementation in R language of the internal rating models approach presented in: De Laurentis G., Maino R. and Molteni L.,, Developing, Validating and Using Internal Ratings: Methodologies and Case Studies, 2010, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd DOI:10.1002/9780470971901

Wrestling with a similar regulatory or operational challenge?

We help regulated firms reduce the friction between what compliance requires and what teams actually have to do — through better processes first, AI where it earns its place. A 30-minute Business & Automation Review maps where your time is going and where automation could pay back fastest.

Related posts
Compliance Testing – Fairness Assessment using R
Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG) augmented by ML can help in Proactive Risk Identification enabling predictive analysis to identify potential issues regarding unbalanced customer selection.
Company default prediction – DLMM internal rating model in R
Most firms are sitting on data that could predict which clients are at risk or which investments are underperforming. Machine learning is the type of artificial intelligence that enables computers to learn from this existing knowledge and data.
Behavioral & decision-making quantification
GenAI can adopt a persona and "make decisions" or "behave" in a way that can be quantified. This technique is used to simulate scenarios, which can then be analyzed quantitatively and used in particular to assess multi-criteria decision alternatives
Prompt for data
Extracting quantitative information using GenAI tools requires to properly structure the prompts used to question them to efficiently use their large language models (LLMs)
Machine learning augmentation: Closing the Data Gap
Machine learning is a type of artificial intelligence that enables computers to learn from existing knowledge and experiment results. These models are traditionally used for prediction and can be augmented by GenAI for training data generation and screening in particular
Retrieval augmented generation (RAG)
Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG) is a critical technique using proprietary or domain specific documents to augment base LLMs to address specific enterprise or applications needs.